14 games left and he's at 26 wins. Realistically he could have 35 wins. Esposito, Sawchuck and Dryden all won 38+ in their rookie years (and are all in the HOF I am sure). I can't remember any rookie Goalie being close to that recently.

Lundqvist was a Vezina finalist in his rookie year with 30 wins.

Goalies to win it recently:
Mason 33 wins
Raycroft 29 wins
Nabokov 32 wins
Broduer 23 wins
Belfour 43 wins!