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View Full Version : Florida primaries



Uncle Mxy
01-29-2008, 10:08 AM
What's the over/under on Giuliani getting 9.11% of the vote in Florida?

Glenn
01-29-2008, 10:14 AM
It'll never happen, but it would be so awesome if Rudy could somehow win Florida.

Talk about throwing a wrench into things.

Fool
01-29-2008, 11:00 AM
It's today yes?

Tahoe
01-29-2008, 12:20 PM
^yes

Tahoe
01-29-2008, 08:03 PM
Conservatives...Romney 40% McCain 27.

Evangelicals...Romney 34 McCain 28

Economy ... McCain 38 Romney 34

I guess a bunch of peeps, indis, registered as Reps when the Dems things got fucked up. McCain kicking ass with those peeps.

Tahoe
01-29-2008, 08:15 PM
Billary agreed not to campaign in Florida and does it anyway. What a bitch!

DrRay11
01-29-2008, 08:46 PM
All she has to tout is her so called "experience" of mediocre plans...

Uncle Mxy
01-29-2008, 09:43 PM
Note there's a property tax cutting amendment also on their ballot that requires 60% to pass, so turnout is high but skewed even more toward old folks than what is reflective of their normal electorate.
Here's the breakdown of the age of the people voting in this primary. See how it compared to 2004 Democratic voters in the general election (can't compare to the 2004 primary, since it was already after Kerry was anointed, and there were no other compelling ballot reasons to show up):

Age 2004 2008
18-29 21% 9%
30-44 27% 18%
45-59 25% 33%
60+ 27% 39%

Hillary can claim victory and look foolish all she wants, but she'd lose big-time to any Republican on a ballot skewed to draw only 27% of folks under 45%. Any Democrat would lose big-time. This is way fucking old even by Florida standards. AFAICT, the primary better reflects an electorate who cared about property tax relief, not so much who cared about the next Democratic president. Trying to do tea-leaf reading on candidates' futures and woulda shoulda couldas without keeping this huge grain of salt in mind is living in a fantasy world.

Rudy supporting McCain will be huge if that translates into New York and New Jersey. That part I wasn't expecting. I'd think Romney would do better with California and New York Republicans, especially as a governor of a Democratic state and enough $ to blitz them with ads. It'll be interesting to see who der Governator endorses in the wake of this.

Tahoe
01-29-2008, 11:04 PM
Yes, the voters who voted after the SC primary were 36 Hill to 34 BO. That is huge for BO. Especially since he kept his word and did NOT compaign in Florida. The absentee peeps who voted when Hill had a huge nationall lead is what made up most of her margin of victory.

Uncle Mxy
01-30-2008, 12:03 AM
That's also fairly huge for Edwards, given that 36 + 34 = a lot less than 100.

Tahoe
01-30-2008, 07:49 AM
It looks like the Florida primary thined the field a lot on the Republican side. I THINK its safe to say its now a 2 man race.